Hamburger vs. Leverkusen kicks off at 19:30 [GMT] on Tuesday, January 13, at the Volksparkstadion.
Bundesliga
Germany
On January 13, 2026, Volksparkstadion will provide the stage for an intriguing Bundesliga contest as Hamburger SV welcomes Bayer Leverkusen. The fixture brings together a traditionally strong home side and a Leverkusen team whose consistency over recent seasons has kept them firmly among the league’s most competitive outfits. Thirteenth-placed Hamburger SV [WWLDL] head into this match encouraged by their home form, having avoided defeat in 22 of their last 26 home matches across all competitions.
Volksparkstadion has once again become a difficult venue for visiting teams. However, their defensive record in the Bundesliga remains a major concern. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 league matches and are allowing an average of 1.69 goals per game, a trend that continues to undermine otherwise competitive performances.
Goals have rarely been in short supply in HSV matches. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of their last six Bundesliga games, reflecting an open style that prioritizes attacking intent but leaves them vulnerable at the back. This approach may entertain the home crowd, but it poses clear risks against a Leverkusen side that has consistently punished defensive lapses, particularly on the road.
A 3—4—2—1 formation with Downs in attack is expected against Leverkusen. Daniel Elfadli is suspended for this fixture against Leverkusen.
Historically, 4th-placed Bayer Leverkusen [LLWWL] have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. Hamburger SV have lost 67 percent of the last six head-to-head meetings, a record that highlights the challenges they face against this opponent. Leverkusen’s quality in midfield and attack has often been decisive, and they arrive in Hamburg with confidence drawn from their longer-term league form.
In their last 48 Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen have avoided defeat on 41 occasions, underlining a level of consistency few teams can match. That said, Leverkusen are not without their own issues. While they have scored two or more goals in 67 percent of their last six away Bundesliga games, they have also shown defensive vulnerability.
They are currently on a run of 10 consecutive away league matches in which they have conceded at least one goal, and they allow an average of 1.50 goals per game in the Bundesliga. This defensive softness could give Hamburger SV encouragement, especially given the hosts’ attacking ambition at home. A 3—4—2—1 formation with Jonas Hofmann in attack is expected against the hosts.
Exequiel Palacios is ruled out due to injury, while Patrik Schick remains in doubt.
Verdi indikerer om modellen vår ser en fordel sammenlignet med bookmakerens odds. En verdi på 120% betyr at vi beregner 20% høyere sannsynlighet enn oddsen tilsier.
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